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To reverse a years of damaging total factor efficiency, regional labour market policy is moving from basic job production to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their concentrate on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing economic durability through more safe trade and investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, handled labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented global environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the newest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most global areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote additional investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services stay crucial development drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is anticipated to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in facilities, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in structure diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Corporate Planning for Regional LeadershipScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Corporate Planning for Regional LeadershipWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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